Monday, January 28, 2019

If all the ice melted


If we keep burning fossil fuels indefinitely, global warming will eventually melt all the ice at the poles and on mountaintops, raising sea level by 216 feet.
By releasing carbon dioxide and other heat-trapping gases into the atmosphere, we have warmed the Earth by more than a full degree Fahrenheit over the past century and raised sea level by about eight inches. Even if we stopped burning all fossil fuels tomorrow, the existing greenhouse gases would continue to warm the Earth for centuries. We have irreversibly committed future generations to a hotter world and rising seas. 

 The concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere has surpassed 400 parts per million, the highest since three million years ago. Sea levels then may have been as much as 65 feet above today’s; the Northern Hemisphere was largely ice free year-round. It would take centuries for the oceans to reach such catastrophic heights again, and much depends on whether we manage to limit future greenhouse gas emissions. In the short term scientists are still uncertain about how fast and how high seas will rise. Estimates have repeatedly been too conservative.

Global warming affects sea level in two ways. About a third of its current rise comes from thermal expansion—from the fact that water grows in volume as it warms. The rest comes from the melting of ice on land. So far it’s been mostly mountain glaciers, but the big concern for the future is the giant ice sheets in Greenland and Antarctica. 12 years ago the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) issued a report predicting a maximum of 23 inches of sea-level rise by the end of this century. But that report intentionally omitted the possibility that the ice sheets might flow even more rapidly into the sea, on the grounds that the physics of that process was poorly understood.

Climate scientists now estimate that Greenland and Antarctica combined have lost on average about 50 cubic miles of ice each year since 1992—roughly 200 billion metric tons of ice annually. Many think sea level will be at least three feet higher than today by 2100. Even that figure might be too low. Coastal cities face a twofold threat: Inexorably rising oceans will gradually inundate low-lying areas, and higher seas will extend the ruinous reach of storm surges. The threat will never go away; it will only worsen.
Using a conservative prediction of a half meter (20 inches) of sea-level rise, the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development estimates that by 2070, 150 million people in the world’s large port cities will be at risk from coastal flooding, along with $35 trillion worth of property—an amount that will equal 9 percent of the global GDP. How will they cope?

2 comments:

  1. Aunt Jeannie ,
    Daddy put mama in the hospital last Monday because she was dehydrated , he had to go out of town he wanted to be sure got plenty liquids in her system , Mama packed her clothes daddy she was going with him ,it was so funny mama didn't want to go , mama had a bad cold , mama running a little fever , mama drinks plenty of liquids the doctor said she would do better in the hospital being monitored for three or four days Mema is so funny Mema said guys maybe your daddy can get a couple of days rest lord know he needs it , daddy got home late Tuesday night , he told us he was bring mama home Friday or Saturday .
    We haven't posted this week we don't have mama's password uncle Harvey got his letter for you ..... daddy said he will find a way for us to post we are joining other young people in this fight and we seem to be gaining ground .
    Love you bunches
    Knight Jonny

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  2. Thank you for the information Knight Jonny. Your Mama takes good care of everyone else but not herself. I bet she gave your Daddy a hard time about going to hospital. His ears must have been burning from her cussing. But you know he was right. So does she. Do not worry, she will be fine and so will Nanook's Friends. It doesn't hurt to give the blog a rest for a few days. You would not believe how cold it is up here. We have been hibernating for a couple of days ourselves...fingers too stiff to type.
    All will be well my friend. I am always here if you need me.
    Much Love to all my Knights,
    Knight Aunt Jeannie

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